Oscar predictions for the new year: 2017 | bambinoides.com " />

Oscar predictions for the new year: 2017

By: Joey Magidson | Deadline Hollywood

oscars banner 2017 _600x310

Friday the 13th. Talk about the proper time to update some predictions, right? After the Golden Globes and the Directors Guild announcements, the race for Academy Award nominations is perhaps beginning to come into focus. With ballots being due today for the Oscars and only a few weeks to go before the nomination results are announced, this is when you really need to have a feel for the race. I do think I know more or less what’s going to happen, at least in broad strokes, but between now and then the updates will seek clarity. I’ve said it before but I’ll say it again…it’s crunch time.87th Annual Academy Awards Set Up

What you’ll see below is more than a slight tinker, mainly taking into account the recent precursors. As such, there’s some small changes almost everywhere. Probably most notable is the upward mobility of Arrival and Lion, both of which have seen solid returns of late. There’s some speculating on a Best Picture/Best Director split between La La Land and Moonlight, but I’m not ready to go there yet. As I mention every year around this time, it’s bad business and goes in the face of statistics/history to predict a split, even if we’ve been seeing them occasionally of late. There’s a possibility that Damien Chazelle or Barry Jenkins could take Director even if their film loses to the other in Picture, but it’s a discussion for another time. Right now, it’s just the moment to soak in some new predictions…

Here now are my up to date Oscar predictions:


1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Arrival
5. Lion
6. Hell or High Water
7. Hidden Figures
8. Fences
9. Hacksaw Ridge
10. Captain Fantastic

Next in line: 11. Silence 12. Deadpool 13. 20th Century Women 14. Jackie 15. Sully 16. Loving 17. Nocturnal Animals 18. The Lobster 19. Patriots Day 20. Miss Sloane 21. The Edge of Seventeen 22. Rules Don’t Apply 23. The Founder 24. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25. Florence Foster Jenkins 26. A Monster Calls 27. Live by Night 28. Toni Erdmann 29. The Jungle Book 30. Bleed for This


1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
4. Denis Villenueve – Arrival
5. Garth Davis – Lion

Next in line: 6. David Mackenzie – Hell or High Water 7. Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge 8. Martin Scorsese – Silence 9. Denzel Washington – Fences 10. Pablo Larraín – Jackie 11. Clint Eastwood – Sully 12. Mike Mills – 20th Century Women 13. Theodore Melfi – Hidden Figures 14. Jeff Nichols – Loving 15. Matt Ross – Captain Fantastic


1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
4. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
5. Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge

Next in line: 6. Joel Edgerton – Loving 7. Tom Hanks – Sully 8. Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 9. Michael Keaton – The Founder 10. Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals 11. Matthew McConaughey – Gold 12. Miles Teller – Bleed for This 13. Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply 14. Mark Wahlberg – Patriots Day 15. Robert De Niro – The Comedian


1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Natalie Portman – Jackie
3. Amy Adams – Arrival
4. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Isabelle Huppert – Elle

Next in line: 6. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women 7. Ruth Negga – Loving 8. Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train 9. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane 10. Taraji P. Henson – Hidden Figures 11. Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen 12. Rebecca Hall – Christine 13. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers 14. Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship 15. Rachel Weisz – Denial


1. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
2. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
3. Dev Patel – Lion
4. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea

Next in line: 6. Ben Foster – Hell or High Water 7. Kevin Costner – Hidden Figures 8. Aaron Taylor Johnson – Nocturnal Animals 9. Peter Sarsgaard – Jackie 10. Mykelti Williamson – Fences 11. Liam Neeson – Silence 12. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals 13. Issey Ogata – Silence 14. Woody Harrelson – The Edge of Seventeen 15. Alan Rickman – Eye in the Sky


1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3. Naomi Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures

Next in line: 6. Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women 7. Lily Gladstone – Certain Women 8. Molly Shannon – Other People 9. Janelle Monae – Hidden Figures 10. Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky 11. Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women (or Live By Night) 12. Leslie Mann – The Comedian 13. Margo Martindale – The Hollars 14. Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls 15. Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (or Cafe Society)


1. Manchester by the Sea
2. La La Land
3. Hell or High Water
4. The Lobster
5. 20th Century Women

Next in line: 6. Captain Fantastic 7. Jackie 8. Patriots Day 9. Miss Sloane 10. Cafe Society 11. Paterson 12. Rules Don’t Apply 13. Everybody Wants Some 14. Toni Erdmann 15. Sausage Party


1. Moonlight
2. Arrival
3. Hidden Figures
4. Lion
5. Fences

Next in line: 6. Loving 7. Deadpool 8. Hacksaw Ridge 9. Silence 10. Nocturnal Animals 11. Sully 12. The Handmaiden 13. A Monster Calls 14. Elle 15. Love & Friendship


1. Zootopia
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Moana
4. The Red Turtle
5. My Life as a Zucchini

Next in line: 6. Miss Hokusai 7. April and the Extraordinary World 8. Finding Dory 9. The Secret Life of Pets 10. Sausage Party 11. The Little Prince 12. Trolls 13. Sing 14. Kung Fu Panda 3 15. The Angry Birds Movie


1. La La Land
2. Arrival
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
4. Jackie
5. Hacksaw Ridge

Next in line: 6. Silence 7. Love & Friendship 8. Rules Don’t Apply 9. Live by Night 10. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk


1. La La Land
2. Silence
3. Arrival
4. Moonlight
5. Lion

Next in line: 6. Nocturnal Animals 7. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 8. The Handmaiden 9. Manchester by the Sea 10. Sully


1. Jackie
2. La La Land
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Nocturnal Animals
5. Captain Fantastic

Next in line: 6. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7. Allied 8. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 9. The Dressmaker 10. Love & Friendship


1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Arrival
5. Hell or High Water

Next in line: 6. Lion 7. Hacksaw Ridge 8. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 9. Silence 10. Deadpool


1. Deadpool
2. Star Trek Beyond
3. A Man Called Ove

Next in line: 4. Florence Foster Jenkins 5. Hail, Caesar! 6. The Dressmaker 7. Suicide Squad 8. N/A (Only Seven Titles Shortlisted) 9. N/A (Only Seven Titles Shortlisted) 10. N/A (Only Seven Titles Shortlisted)


1. La La Land
2. Hacksaw Ridge
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
4. Patriots Day
5. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Next in line: 6. Deadpool 7. Sully 8. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 9. A Monster Calls 10. Arrival


1. La La Land
2. Hacksaw Ridge
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
4. Patriots Day
5. Deadpool

Next in line: 6. Jason Bourne 7. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 8. Sully 9. A Monster Calls 10. Arrival


1. The Jungle Book
2. Doctor Strange
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
4. Arrival
5. Kubo and the Two Strings

Next in line: 6. Captain America: Civil War 7. The BFG 8. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 9. Passengers 10. Deepwater Horizon


1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
4. Jackie
5. Lion

Next in line: 6. Hell or High Water 7. The BFG 8. Patriots Day 9. Finding Dory 10. Florence Foster Jenkins


1. La La Land – “City of Stars”
2. Moana – “We Know the Way”
3. La La Land – “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)”
4. Sing Street – “Drive It Like You Stole It
5. Trolls – “Can’t Stop the Feeling”

Next in line: 6. Sing Street – “Go Now” 7. Hidden Figures – “I See A Victory” 8. Sausage Party – “The Great Beyond” 9. Snowden – “The Veil” 10. Moana – “How Far I’ll Go”


1. O.J.: Made in America
2. Life, Animated
3. Gleason
4. 13th
5. Weiner

Next in line: 6. I Am Not Your Negro 7. Cameraperson 8. Tower 9. Fire at Sea 10. The Eagle Huntress


1. Toni Erdmann
2. Land of Mine
3. The Salesman
4. My Life as a Zucchini
5. A Man Called Ove

Next in line: 6. Paradise 7. It’s Only the End of the World 8. Tanna 9. The King’s Choice 10. N/A (Only Nine Titles Shortlisted)


1. Inner Workings
2. Pearl
3. Piper
4. Borrowed Time
5. Once Upon a Line


1. Joe’s Violin
2. The White Helmets
3. Frame 394
4. The Other Side of Home
5. Extremis


1. Silent Nights
2. The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy
3. Bon Voyage
4. Nocturne in Black

5. Timecode

Stay tuned for an update early next week!

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